
A tight rental market is one of the clearest signs that tenants need the homes. Richlands has the tightest I’ve seen this fortnight.
This fortnight I ran 16 suburbs from one new-build stocklist through my 10-criteria scorecard. They span South East Queensland, Sydney and Melbourne. None reached Feature. Eight landed at Investigate. Richlands, in Brisbane’s south-west, is the one I’ve chosen to look at most closely. The headline numbers are on the Richlands suburb validation page.
It isn’t the first time Richlands has crossed my desk. In August I rated a Richlands townhouse project WATCH on my earlier framework. My scorecard has changed since then. It now weighs current market data most heavily, and it reads supply against the homes growth actually needs.
Rental vacancy across postcode 4077 was 0.35% in September 2026, down from 0.40% a year earlier (SQM Research). That was the lowest of all 16 suburbs I scored. Rents for units and townhouses in Richlands rose 4.5% in the 12 months to October 2026, to a median of $653 a week (realestate.com.au, PropTrack). On suburb medians, that’s a gross yield of about 4.2%.
The household mix fits the product too. At the 2021 Census, 62.7% of Richlands families had children, against 60.7% across Greater Brisbane (ABS). Three- and four-bedroom townhouses are built for exactly those households.
I explained this test in my Walloon post: approvals mean little until you compare them with the homes population growth needs. In Richlands, the answer is reassuring.
The statistical area covering Inala and Richlands added 533 people in the year to June 2025 (ABS). At 2.9 people per household (ABS Census 2021), that’s about 184 new homes needed. Only 106 were approved in the 12 months to August 2026 (ABS). That’s 0.58 times what growth needs. Supply is running behind demand, not ahead of it. AreaSearch shows just one other residential project under construction in the same area (November 2026).
Together they say tenants need these homes and new supply isn’t catching up. Sources: SQM Research, September 2026; realestate.com.au / PropTrack, October 2026; ABS, August 2026.
The homes on my list are three- and four-bedroom townhouses in a boutique complex that’s already under construction, with completion expected late 2027 to early 2028. A supermarket, a GP and a state primary school are all in or next to the suburb (Google Maps, November 2026). Over ten years, asking prices for units and townhouses in the postcode grew about 8.9% a year (SQM Research, October 2016 to October 2026; asking prices, not sales).
Strong rental demand is a good start, not a finished case. A portfolio built to last needs tenants today and buyers later. In Richlands, the tenant side is as strong as any suburb I scored this fortnight. The buyer side is where the open questions sit: a renter-heavy suburb, rising listings and a local jobs market that’s softer than the national average.
That’s why the remaining checks matter. If they come back clean, Richlands could move up. If not, it stays where it is. You can compare it with another south-west corridor suburb in my Redbank Plains review.
Want to know how a townhouse in Richlands fits your portfolio?
Book your strategy sessionMy scorecard changed. It now has 10 criteria with three decisions: Feature, Investigate and Hold. It weighs vacancy, rents and supply against growth most heavily. Richlands is strong on all three and weaker on jobs, ownership and listings.
The open checks: flood and bushfire mapping, funded infrastructure nearby, and price against completed townhouses. Clean answers on those would lift it. The weaker signals on jobs and ownership stay part of the read either way.
No. Low vacancy shows tenants need homes now. Returns over time also depend on who buys when you sell, how much new supply arrives, and the price you pay going in.